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August rate cut not certain following robust GDP rebound, ICAEW says

Author: ICAEW

Published: 11 Jul 2024

Suren Thiru, ICAEW Economics Director, responded to the latest UK GDP figures for May 2024, released by the Office for National Statistics today (Thursday 11 July 2024):

“These figures confirm a robust rebound in economic activity as stronger services and construction output helped return the economy to growth. 

“May’s GDP uptick may well have been followed by a June washout, with wet weather likely to have stifled output from key sectors of the economy, despite a helping hand to hospitality and some retailers from Euro 2024.  

“Longer-term, the new government faces an uphill struggle to achieve its ambition to significantly uplift the UK’s growth trajectory, unless it can substantially increase productivity and tackle economic inactivity.   

“These GDP figures may make an August rate cut less likely by providing those rate setters, who are concerned about underlying price pressures, with sufficient confidence about the UK’s economic recovery to continue putting off loosening policy.” 

ENDS

Notes to editors:

Contact: ICAEW media office media.office@icaew.com, tom.mackintosh@icaew.com or 07866 853 841