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June rate cut off the table despite UK reaching inflation milestone, ICAEW says

Author: ICAEW

Published: 19 Jun 2024

Responding to the UK inflation figures for May 2024, released by the Office for National Statistics today (Wednesday 19 June 2024), Suren Thiru, Economics Director at ICAEW, said:
“The UK has reached a major milestone in its fight against an historic inflation surge, as weakening food costs helped pull the headline rate back to the Bank of England’s 2% target.

“Any relief over inflation returning to target should be tempered by the damaging after-effects this eyewatering cost of living shock has left behind, including materially higher price levels and weaker living standards.

“Inflation’s trajectory may get bumpier after the election with the higher National Living Wage and low labour supply likely to increase the upward pressure on prices, even though another fall in energy bills is coming in July.

“Despite this landmark fall in inflation, concerns over both underlying price pressures and changing policy in the run-up to a general election means a June interest rate cut is almost certainly off the table.”

ENDS

Notes to editors:

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