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September rate cut not certain despite downbeat July GDP, ICAEW says

Author: ICAEW

Published: 11 Sep 2024

Suren Thiru, ICAEW Economics Director, responded to the latest UK GDP figures for July 2024, released by the Office for National Statistics today (Wednesday 11 September 2024):

“These figures confirm that the UK economy struggled for momentum in the aftermath of the general election as falling manufacturing and construction output caused overall activity to flatline in July.

“The UK’s growth trajectory should slow further in the coming months with higher energy bills and expected tax rises likely to trigger renewed restraint in spending and investment, despite a boost from subdued inflation. 

“Despite these downbeat figures, a September rate cut is not certain given that some rate setters are still sufficiently nervous over lingering price pressures to delay loosening policy again, at least until November.” 

ENDS

Notes to editors:

Contact: ICAEW media office media.office@icaew.com, tom.mackintosh@icaew.com or 07866 853 841