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Inflation: 75 years of ups and downs
- Article
- 06 Jul 2022
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How does high inflation impact savings and pensions?
Inflation is finally starting to come down in the UK, but not as fast as hoped. That isn’t great news for pensions – but neither is it a complete disaster.
ReadInflation turns corner and could force interest rate rethink
Official data reveals that UK inflation moved back into single digits in April, but food inflation remains near record high.
ReadEasing inflation may force interest rate voting split
Official data reveals that UK inflation remains in double digits, despite slowing in March. The slowdown in March was mainly driven by the continued fall in fuel prices. However, this was largely offset by rising food prices.
ReadSurprise inflation rise causes interest rate headache
Official data reveals that UK inflation rose for the first time in six months in February amid vegetable shortages, leaving the Bank of England with a tough decision on interest rates.
ReadPitiful drop in January highlights continued inflation challenge
Suren Thiru, Economics Director at ICAEW, responds to the UK inflation figures for January 2023, released by the Office for National Statistics today (Wednesday 15 February 2023).
ReadSlowing inflation not easing the cost of living crisis
Official data reveals that UK inflation slowed for the second successive month in December as fuel prices continued to fall.
ReadPainful deceleration on the way as inflation slows
Official data from the Office for National Statistics reveals that UK inflation slowed slightly to 10.7% in November, but still the second highest rate since August 1980.
ReadHow high inflation impacts accounting
Guidance from ICAEW’s Financial Reporting Faculty explores the impact of high inflation on accounting and considers the financial reporting implications and related uncertainties that entities will need to think about.
ReadScaling back of energy support risks renewed inflation surge
The latest official estimate from the Office for National Statistics reveals that UK inflation accelerated to 10.1% in September as food prices soar.
ReadHow can hospitality companies tough out inflation?
As research shows that two-thirds of the UK’s Top 100 restaurant businesses are losing money, we look at what hospitality companies can do to survive rising inflation.
ReadAn inflated sense of worth: what inflation means for savers
A fall in headline inflation to 9.9% in August down slightly from 10.1% in July is likely to be a transient moment of calm in a continuing storm. So what does rising inflation mean for pension savers and other investors?
ReadAugust’s dip in inflation a ‘temporary distortion’, says ICAEW
Latest official estimate revealed that UK inflation slowed to 9.9% in August, amid strong base effects and lower fuel prices.
ReadHigher food prices push UK inflation into double digits
Latest official estimates reveal that UK inflation rose to 10.1% in July, the highest rate since February 1982, and experts say it has yet to peak.
ReadUK businesses keen to invest are held back by inflation
About 66% of businesses plan to seek funding for business investment, according to research, while the same number have been negatively affected by rising inflation.
ReadICAEW: Middle East offsets inflation with rising oil prices
Middle East GDP growth in 2022 is projected at 5.2%, an increase of one percentage point on Oxford Economics’ forecast in the first quarter, following inflated oil prices
ReadAuditing with inflation on the rise
Inflation has only been above 3% twice in the last 30 years. Auditors will need to understand the impacts. We outline some of the key areas of the audit that may be affected by inflation.
ReadInflation adds fuel to the deficit as cost of borrowing soars
Economic pressures mount as the public sector deficit reaches £55bn in the first three months of the fiscal year.
ViewUK inflation reaches new 40-year high
Latest official GDP estimate revealed UK inflation UK inflation rose for ninth month in a row in June, amid higher petrol and food prices.
ReadRecession? What recession? Time for business to stop worrying and start investing
Iain Wright, ICAEW’s Managing Director, Reputation and Influence is joined by Kitty Ussher, Chief Economist at the Institute of Directors, and Suren Thiru, ICAEW’s Director, Economies.
ListenThe pain – and potential gains – of rising inflation
On this ICAEW Insights podcast episode, we speak to Martin Wheatcroft about rising inflation and what that means for businesses, plus capital allowances reforms.
ListenStronger-than-expected growth masks growing challenges
Latest official GDP estimate confirms that the UK economy rebounded in May after shrinking in April, as GP appointments boost the headline figure.
ReadFive strategies to weather the inflation storm
ICAEW Manufacturing Community member Katy Davies runs through her five-point plan to help bolster businesses against a backdrop of rising inflation.
ReadBoE: further rate increase is necessary to rein in inflation
The Bank of England’s chief economist warns inflation will be no quick fix and to expect further interest rate increases to achieve its objective of getting inflation back to 2%.
ReadInsight from firms
PwC examines accountants’ role as inflation soars
Using ICAEW inflation data, PwC UK Senior Economist Barret Kupelian assesses influential factors contributing to historically high inflation and explores what this means for businesses and the role of accountants.
ReadMazars: deflation is dependent on multiple global economies
From ending war to kickstarting manufacturing, George Lagarias, Chief Economist at Mazars, examines how global markets have dealt with inflation during the 20th century, adding what we can learn from their experience.
ReadRSM: inflation spike harks back to post-war peak
ICAEW’s graphic highlights similarities between post-pandemic and post-Second World War inflation, say Thomas Pugh and Simon Hart from RSM, who explain what businesses should be doing to mitigate the effects.
ReadEY: inflation inevitable after the pandemic
Using ICAEW inflation data, EY UK Chief Economist Peter Arnold assesses key drivers behind rising inflation over the past seven decades and predicts how this current wave of high inflation looks set to pan out.
ReadCharts and tables
Chart of the week: Inflation by month
Our chart this week looks at how September’s inflation rate of 6.7% is made up by month, and why a big drop in the annual rate is predicted next month.
ViewChart of the week: Consumer price inflation
Our chart illustrates how ‘core inflation’, energy price rises, and food, alcohol and tobacco price inflation contributed to a lower than expected fall in the overall rate of inflation in April 2023.
ViewChart of the week: Food prices
An inflation rate of 10.1% in the year to March 2023 conceals a huge variation in individual price rises, as illustrated by this week’s chart on food prices.
ViewChart of the week: Slowing inflation
This chart illustrates the slowing rate of inflation and how it should fall further once a big surge in prices between February and April 2022 falls out of the comparison.
ViewChart of the week: Consumer Price Inflation
This chart looks at how the benchmark percentage, used to determine the rise in the state pension and many welfare benefits from next April, reached 10.1% in September 2022.
ViewInflation adds fuel to the deficit as cost of borrowing soars
Economic pressures mount as the public sector deficit reaches £55bn in the first three months of the fiscal year.
ViewChart of the week: Inflation around the world
This week we look at how inflation is racing upwards across the world, with the UK reporting in April one of the highest rates of increase among developed countries.
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